Forex Trading: The Perfect Forex Trading System
Raul Lopez
Most Forex trading systems are made off technical indicators (a moving average (MA) crossover, overbought/oversold conditions in an oscillator, etc.) But what are technical indicators? They are just a series of data points plotted in a chart; these points are derived from a mathematical formula applied to the price of any given currency pair. In other words, it is a chart of price plotted in a different way that helps us see other aspects of price.
There is an important implication on this definition of technical indicators. The fact that the readings obtained from them are based on price action. Take for instance a long MA crossover signal, the price has gone up enough to make the short period MA crossover the long period MA generating a long signal. Most traders see it as "the MA crossover made the price go up," but it happened the other way around, the MA crossover signal occurred because the price went up. Where I'm trying to get here is that at the end, price behavior dictates how an indicator will act, and this should be taken into consideration on any trading decision made.
Trading decisions based on technical indicators without taking price action into consideration will give us less accurate results. For example, again a long signal generated by a MA crossover as the market approaches an important resistance level. If the price suddenly starts to bounce back off that important level there is no point on taking this signal, price action is telling us the market doesn't want to go up. Most of the time, under this circumstances, the market will continue to fall down, disregarding the MA crossover.
Don't get me wrong here, technical indicators are a very important aspect of trading. They help us see certain conditions that are otherwise difficult to see by watching pure price action. But when it comes to pull the trigger, price action incorporation into our Forex trading system will definitely put the odds in our favor, it will generate higher probability trades.
So, how to create a perfect Forex trading system? First of all, you need to make sure your trading system fits your trading personality; otherwise you will find it hard to follow it. Every trader has different needs and goals, thus there is no system that perfectly fits all traders. You need to make your own research on various trading styles and technical indicators until you find a concept that perfectly works for you. Make sure you know the nature of whatever technical indicator used.
Secondly, incorporate price action into your system. So you only take long signals if the price behavior tells you the market wants to go up, and short signals if the market gives you indication that it will go down.
Third, and most importantly, you need to have the discipline to follow your Forex trading system rigorously. Try it first on a demo account, then move on to a small account and finally when feeling comfortably and being consistent profitable apply your system in a regular account.
About the author:
Raul Lopez is a full time Forex trader and founder of www.straightforex.com a high quality Forex training company.
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Yahoo! News Search Results for forex
Forex Strategy Outlook: US Dollar Rallies Look Promising (Daily FX via Yahoo!...
A strong US Dollar reversal has led our forex trading strategies to go heavily long the resurgent currency, and our bullish dollar bias calls for further gains in said trend-following systems.
Forex Trade Desk Thoughts (TheStreet.com)
Forex values seem less likely to be set on forward growth and interest rate numbers, and far more likely to feed off the risk tolerance/aversion shown each day in equity markets.
Short-Term Forex Technical Outlook: EUR/GBP (Daily FX via Yahoo! Finance)
The British pound continued to weaken against the euro as investors scaled backed expectations for a rate hike by the Bank of England, and the decline in the interest rate outlook may keep the EUR/GBP range-bound over the near-term as market participants weigh the outlook for future policy.
FOREX-Yen retreats as stocks offer risk trades respite (Reuters via Yahoo! Ph...
* Cross/yen rises led by investor short-covering
Short-Term Forex Technical Outlook: GBP/JPY (Daily FX via Yahoo! Finance)
The British pound weaken against the Japanese yen to retrace the advance from the end of July, and the GBP/JPY may continue to hold a broad range throughout the month as investors weigh the outlook for a global recovery.
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Yahoo! News Search Results for currencies
CURRENCIES: Dollar, Yen Rise As Stocks, Commodities Tumble (Nasdaq)
Both the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen rose on Monday, as currency traders sought the safe-haven of low-yielding currencies after a slide in Chinese shares and a weaker-than-expected rebound in Japan's economy.
Currencies: Dollar, yen rise as stocks, commodities tumble (Market Watch)
Both the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen rise as currency traders seek the safe-haven of low-yielding currencies after a slide in Chinese shares and a weaker-than-expected rebound in Japan's economy.
CURRENCIES: Dollar And Yen Rise As Equities, Commodities Drop (Nasdaq)
A weaker-than-expected rebound by the Japanese economy and a steep fall by Chinese shares translated into gains for the yen and the U.S. dollar, with both currencies enjoying safe-haven appeal as equity markets added to recent losses, strategists said.
CURRENCIES: Dollar And Yen Rise As Asian Stocks Plunge (Nasdaq)
The dollar and yen got a lift against major rivals in Asian trading Monday, as a regional sell-off led by Chinese shares sent investors into the perceived safety of lower-yielding currencies.
Asian Currencies: Ringgit Climbs on GDP Outlook, Peso Advances (Bloomberg)
Aug. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Malaysia?s ringgit led gains in Asia on speculation exporters sold the greenback after the local currency?s biggest slide in four months.